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Week 12: Bills vs. Jaguars
at
Sunday, Nov. 27th
1:00pm ET
The Bills return home to New Era Field for the first of four games at home over the next five weeks. The Jaguars come to town with a disappointing two wins after being touted an up and coming team in the preseason. The Bills can't look past the Jaguars because like very week the rest of the season, this is a must win.

FACTS AND FIGURES

Matchup: Buffalo (5-5) vs. Jacksonville (2-8)
Place: New Era Field
TV/Radio: Network: CBS; DirecTV: 706; Sirius: 133; SiriusXM 229
Announcers: Andrew Catalon, Steve Tasker, & Steve Beuerlein
Spread: Bills by 7½
Series: Bills lead 7-6 (Bills 0-1 in playoffs)
Streak: Jaguars Won 1
Last Meeting: Jaguars 34-31 in London (2015)
Jaguars Offense: Rush (26th); Pass (17th); overall (21st)
Jaguars Defense: Rush (23rd); Pass (5th); overall (7th)
Bills Offense: Rush (1st); Pass (32nd); overall (18th)
Bills Defense: Rush (20th); Pass (11th); overall (12th)


INJURY UPDATE

The Bills are hoping to get Sammy Watkins back after being on injured reserve for eight weeks with his lingering issues with his surgically repaired foot. If he makes it through practice this week then he has a good chance at playing on Sunday. LeSean McCoy had surgery on his thumb after last Sunday's game but he should play. Robert Woods and Robert Blanton will miss the game with their injuries suffered against Cincinnati. Among others missing practice time this week are Cordy Glenn and Mike Gillislee.

The Jaguars had RB T.J. Yeldon miss some practice time this week with an ankle injury and TE Julius Thomas missed time with a back injury. DT Abry Jones (Ankle), DL Jared Odrick (Shoulder), LB Dan Skuta (Back), and DE Chris Smith (Eye) all sat out practices this week.

Check out our Bills Daily Injury Page throughout the week for the latest updates on the injured players.

KEY MATCHUPS

RB LeSean McCoy vs. MLB Paul Posluszny:
McCoy should be good to go for this game and he will be the focal point of the Bills offense. The main man in the middle of the defense for the Jags is our old friend Poz who leads the team in tackles.

DBs Stephon Gilmore and Ronald Darby vs. WRs Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns:
You can add Marqise Lee to this matchup as well. As we chronicle in our keys to the game the much maligned starting corners for the Bills have a big test this week.

DT Marcell Dareus vs. C Brandon Linder:
Dareus finally seems healthy physically and mentally. That is bad news for the middle of the offensive line of the Jaguars. Linder is a solid third year player who will have to get help from his guards against Dareus.

RTs Jordan Mills and Seantrel Henderson vs. DE Yannick Ngakoue:
Mills continues to start but he is now splitting right tackle duties with Henderson. Whichever one is out there when Ngakoue checks into the game needs to watch it. Ngakoue leads his team with five sacks and three forced fumbles.

KEYS TO THE GAME

1. Put The Hammer Down: If the Bills get out to an early lead and don't let Jacksonville gain any momentum early in the game they may just be able to win this one going away. If Jacksonville hangs around early they may gain more confidence than a two win team should and make a game of it.

2. Take The Ball Away: The Bills have done a great job securing the football but not such a good job taking it away. This week is a golden opportunity to get takeaways in bunches. If they do that this game will be a rout.

3. Secondary Success: The Jaguars may be having a horrible year but they have a decent amount of talent especially at wide receiver. The Bills secondary will need to build on last week's success or else the Jags could get a few big plays and make a game of this.

BILLS DAILY PREDICTION

As you can see I have been on a pretty good running picking Bills games this year. I don't expect them to look past a bad Jacksonville squad but the Bills aren't playing well enough right now to blow anybody out. I think this game will be closer than we like but the Bills will prevail at home:
Bills 20, Jaguars 16

Season Prediction Record: (9-1)
Season Record Against The Spread: (8-2)

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